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Articles tagged with #predictive-modelling
Two days before the Academy Awards, I ran a prediction through Perspectives: "Will Timothée Chalamet win the Oscar for Best Actor at the 2026 Academy Awards?" The system's consensus prediction across
On January 30, 2026, I ran a prediction through Perspectives: "Kristi Noem out by March 31?" The system returned a 23% probability. Eight forecasting personas debated the question, interrogated each o
On January 28, 2026, we ran three related predictions through Perspectives, a multi-agent forecasting system that uses AI personas to debate the likelihood of future events. The questions were all foc
