Two Systems, One Truth: Why the Best Forecasters Will Use Both AI and Financial MarketsTwo days before the Academy Awards, I ran a prediction through Perspectives: "Will Timothée Chalamet win the Oscar for Best Actor at the 2026 Academy Awards?" The system's consensus prediction across Mar 17, 2026
Three Predictions on Iran: What Perspectives Got Right, Got Wrong, and Couldn't See ComingMar 1, 2026
Perspectives Development Update: Interrogation of Blind ProposalsI've rebuilt how debates work in Perspectives. The system now runs structured interrogations of blind proposals rather than open-ended discussion threads. The change addresses fundamental problems with how debates generate useful analysis. The Proble...Jan 8, 2026
Perspectives Development Update: 2026 W1Perspectives has received three major updates: a new analysis report system, web search integration, and a redesigned interface. These changes address core limitations in how the system supports decision-making. Analysis Reports Replace Summary Secti...Jan 4, 2026
Building Realistic Simulations: A Research-Driven ApproachProcess simulations are only valuable if they're realistic. A simulation that looks impressive but doesn't capture how things actually work can lead to bad decisions and failed implementations. When we decided to create the first very realistic simul...Oct 31, 2025
Introducing the Simulation PlaygroundThe goal of the Universal Automation Wiki is to provide a clear, data-driven understanding of the world's processes. A text description, however, is only half the story. To really analyse, improve, and understand a complex workflow, you need to inter...Aug 27, 2025
Introducing Metrics & Personas on the Universal Automation WikiWith the Universal Automation Wiki, we aim to map out automation possiblities throughout various domains, and make this information accessible to as many people as possible. To help make the site more useful and reliable for our users, we’re excited ...May 23, 2025
