The Panel (Comic)
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May 3, 20261 min read15
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#ai
Articles tagged with #ai
Two Systems, One Truth: Why the Best Forecasters Will Use Both AI and Financial Markets
Two days before the Academy Awards, I ran a prediction through Perspectives: "Will Timothée Chalamet win the Oscar for Best Actor at the 2026 Academy Awards?" The system's consensus prediction across
Mar 17, 20269 min read24
The Kristi Noem Forecast: How AI Underpriced Transactional Loyalty
On January 30, 2026, I ran a prediction through Perspectives: "Kristi Noem out by March 31?" The system returned a 23% probability. Eight forecasting personas debated the question, interrogated each o
Mar 5, 20268 min read42
Three Predictions on Iran: What Perspectives Got Right, Got Wrong, and Couldn't See Coming
On January 28, 2026, we ran three related predictions through Perspectives, a multi-agent forecasting system that uses AI personas to debate the likelihood of future events. The questions were all foc
Mar 1, 202621 min read212
Perspectives Development Update: Persona Sets & Prediction Mode
Perspectives previously used a fixed set of 8 philosophical personas for all debates. This created a mismatch between the analytical lens and the decision being made. Evaluating a feature prioritisation decision through Sociopath's strategic weakness...
Jan 12, 20266 min read18
Perspectives Development Update: Interrogation of Blind Proposals
I've rebuilt how debates work in Perspectives. The system now runs structured interrogations of blind proposals rather than open-ended discussion threads. The change addresses fundamental problems with how debates generate useful analysis. The Proble...
Jan 8, 20264 min read11